|
[Editor's
Note: Bev Harris is the Author of the book " Black
Box Voting: Ballot Tampering In The 21st Century."
Topple Bush is now a mirror site so our viewers
can download for free
this book to read NOW in .pdf format! Also you
may want to read this article on
Scoop Media as the references are linked with
anchor points we omitted to make it easier for
us to post this very long and detailed article.]
"DELAND,
Fla., Nov. 11 - Something very strange happened
on election night to Deborah Tannenbaum, a Democratic
Party official in Volusia County. At 10 p.m.,
she called the county elections department and
learned that Al Gore was leading George W. Bush
83,000 votes to 62,000. But when she checked the
county's Web site for an update half an hour later,
she found a startling development: Gore's count
had dropped by 16,000 votes, while an obscure
Socialist candidate had picked up 10,000--all
because of a single precinct with only 600 voters."
Washington
Post Sunday , November 12, 2000 ; Page A22
Yes.
Something very strange happened in Volusia County
on election night November 2000, the night that
first Gore won Florida, then Bush, and then as
everybody can so well remember there was a tie.
Something
strange indeed. But what exactly? In the above
report, written days after the election, hotshot
Washington Post reporter Dana Milbank goes on
to attribute the strange 16,022 negative vote
tally from Volusia's precinct 216 to an apparently
innocent cause.
"...faulty
'memory cards' in the machines caused the
16,000-vote disappearance on election night. The
glitch was soon fixed," he wrote.
But
thanks to recent investigations into Black Box
Voting by Washington State writer Bev Harris we
now know this explanation is not correct. In fact
it is not even in the ballpark.
According
to recently discovered internal Diebold Election
Systems memos, Global Election Systems' (which
was later purchased by Diebold) own technical
staff were also stumped by the events in Volusia
County/
In
Chapter 11 of her new book "Black Box Voting
In the 21st Century" released early today
in .PDF format at Blackboxvoting.com and
here at Scoop Ms Harris observes.
"If
you strip away the partisan rancor over the 2000
election, you are left with the undeniable fact
that a presidential candidate conceded the election
to his opponent based on [results from] a second
card that mysteriously appears, subtracts 16,022
votes, then just as mysteriously disappears."
Working
in parallel with Ms Harris Scoop has also been
inquiring into the events on election night in
Volusia county. Much of the material that follows
is similar to that which appears in Chapter 11
of her book.
The
starting point in this shocking discovery about
election 2000 came in a series of internal Diebold
ES technical support memos.
The
following is an abbreviated version of the exchange
concerning the peculiar events in Volusia county.
For the purposes of research the exchange is included
in full as an Appendix to this report (APPENDIX
TWO). The discussion took place in early 2001
as an audit was underway in Volusia county into
the events.
**********
(NOTE:
The names below each extract link to the full
text of the emails in the appendices below.)
I need some answers! Our department is being audited
by the County. I have been waiting for someone
to give me an explanation as to why Precinct 216
gave Al Gore a minus 16022 when it was uploaded.
Will someone please explain this so that I have
the information to give the auditor instead of
standing here "looking dumb".
Lana
Hires - Volusia County Florida - January 17,
2001 8:07 AM
My understanding is that the card was not corrupt
after (or before) upload. They fixed the problem
by clearing the precinct and re-uploading the
same card. So neither of these explainations
washes. That's not to say I have any idea what
actually happened, its just not either of those..
The
problem is its going to be very hard to collect
enough data to really know what happened. The
card isn't corrupt so we can't post-mortem it
(its not mort).
Ken
Clark - Diebold ES R&D Manager - January 18,
2001 1:41 PM
-
the negative numbers on media display occurred
when Lana attempted to reupload a card or duplicate
card. Sophia and Tab may be able to shed some
light here, keeping in mind that the boogie
man may me reading our mail. Do we know how
this could occur?
John
McLaurin - Diebold ES - 18 Jan 2001 15:44:50
The problem precinct had two memcory cards uploaded.
The second one is the one I believe caused the
problem. They were uploaded on the same port approx.
1 hour apart. As far as I know there should only
have been one memory card uploaded. I asked you
to check this out when the problem first occured
but have not heard back as to whether this is
true.
When
the precinct was cleared and re-uploaded (only
one memory card as far as I know) everything
was fine.
Given that we transfer data in ascii form not
binary and given the way the data was 'invalid'
the error could not have occured during transmission.
Therefore the error could only occur in one
of four ways:
[4.] There is always the possiblity that the
'second memory card' or 'second upload' came
from an un-authorised source.
Tab
Iredale - Diebold ES - 18 Jan 2001 13:31
If this problem is to be properly answered we
need to determine where the 'second' memory
card is or whether it even exists. Heh. Second
shooter theory. All we need now is a grassy
knoll.
Ken
Clark - Diebold ES R&D Manager - 18 Jan 2001
16:42:50
I will be visiting with Lana on Monday and will
ascertain the particulars related to the second
memory card. One concern I've had all along is
"if" we are getting the full story from Lana.
I'll
be back in touch and thanks for all of y'alls
(that's southern for all of you) help.
John
McLaurin - Diebold ES - Thu, 18 Jan 2001 16:56:06
**********
Unfortunately
whether or not John McLaurin got to the bottom
of the mystery of Volusia County is something
the memos cannot tell us.
Searches
of the Diebold memos database find a single followup
memo from McLaurin about the Checksum Errors experienced
in Volusia, but nothing on the mysterious 16,022
negative vote count.
Which
leaves us where exactly?
What
we know from the memos can be summarised as follows:
-
Two memory cards were uploaded from Volusia Couny's
precinct 216, the second one was loaded sometime
close to 2am in the morning. It automatically
replaced the first card's results and reduced
Gore's total by 16,022 votes and added several
thousand votes to Bush plus a variety of minor
candidates;
- Both memory cards loaded into the system clean
and without errors, indicating (contrary to the
official line) that they were not faulty;
- After the error was noticed the original card
was reloaded and the mistake was rectified;
- The error was introduced in such a way that
the total number of votes remained unchanged (again
something that could not happen by chance.);
- According to the technical boffins, the chance
of the memory card being corrupted and still passing
the checksum error test are less than 60,000 to
1;
- The technical managers at Diebold Election Systems
considered it a reasonable possibility that the
second card was part of deliberate conspiracy
to rig the election results.
In
her book Bev Harris explains the issue of whether
the card was a chance fault or a deliberate example
of tampering."
"A
memory card is like floppy disk. If you have worked
with computers for any length of time you will
know that a disk can go bad. When it does, which
of the following is most likely? In an Excel spreadsheet
that you saved on a "bad disk," might it read
a column of numbers correct the first time: "1005,
2109, 3000, 450" but the second time, replace
the numbers like this: "1005, 2109, -16022, 450"
Or is it more likely that the "bad disk" willfail
to read the file at all, crash your computer,
give you an error message, or make weird humming
and whirring noises."
source:
page 239, Chapter 11,
"Black Box Voting in the 21st Century"
However
officially, as we learned earlier, the explanation
given publicly - and accepted without demur by
the media - for the strange events in Volusia
county is that there was simply a "faulty memory
card".
The
"faulty memory card" explanation is also included
in a CBS News Network investigation into the Election
2000 debacle.
And
it is here that we find a considerable amount
of information about just how significant the
Volusia County events were on election night.
The
first thing we learn from CBS's investigation
into the events of election night is that according
to the Voter News Service (VNS) exit polls for
Florida Al Gore should have won comfortably.
7:00
PM: The vast majority of Florida polls close.
CBS News decides not to project a winner in the
Florida Presidential race at poll closing, even
though the best estimate, based upon exit-poll
interviews from the 45 survey precincts, shows
Gore leading Bush by 6.6 points. The Decision
Desk decides to wait for some actual votes from
sample precincts to confirm the exit-poll results.
7:40
PM: The VNS computation shows a "call"
status in the Florida Presidential race. This
status means that statistically Gore is leading,
but the Decision Team needs to check more data.
VNS
eventually officially called the Florida race
to Gore at 7.52pm, notwithstanding comments early
in the vote count from George Bush that he was
confident he would win both Florida and Pennsylvannia
(comments which were never fully explained).
With
the benefit of hindsight we think we now
know that the VNS data was wrong. That is certainly
what the CBS inquiry found
In
the report attached below there are a range of
explanations for this given, none of them adequately
explain the magnitude of the error however.
Most
of the news networks followed the VNS call giving
Florida to Gore. And by 8.02pm all networks had
announced Gore as the winner in Florida. And it
wasn't till 9pm that some doubts about this call
started to emerge.
First
up a significant error - attributed to a typing
mistake - was found in the VNS data at 9.07pm.
This led to closer examination of the rest of
the data and the incoming returns. By around 10pm
the Florida calls to Gore were all officially
withdrawn. This is recorded in the CBS report
as follows:
9:54
PM: The CBS News Decision Desk recommends
that the call in Florida for Gore be withdrawn.
CBS is in a local cutaway at 9:54 PM (the seven
minutes at the end of the hour when local stations
broadcast their own election results), and so
CBS does not withdraw the call until 10:00 PM.
10:16
PM: VNS retracts its Florida call for Gore.
The
CBS timeline then jumps forward four hours to
2am EST.
By
now an apparently substantial lead of 29,000 votes
has opened up in favour of George Bush.
2:09
AM: VNS adds Volusia County's erroneous numbers
to its tabulated vote. With 171 out of 172 precincts
in the county reporting, Gore's vote drops by
more than 10,000 while Bush's rises by almost
the same amount. This 20,000-vote change in one
county increases Bush's VNS statewide lead to
more than 51,000 votes.
What
the news networks, and the Al Gore, camp do not
realise at this point in the evening is that over
24,000 of votes that make up this significant
lead are attributable to two Diebold Election
Systems computer errors.
First
there are the 16,022 votes stolen from Gore in
Volusia county by the "faulty memory card". Meanwhile
over in Brevard County another error - also involving
Global Elections System (the predecessor of Diebold)
equipment is responsible for a further 4000 votes
being lopped off the Gore total.
And
it is also worth noting that nobody knows whether
the Brevard and Volusia county errors were the
only ones in play at this time. These errors were
both big ones. They were noticed and corrected
on the night. How many smaller vote subtractions
could have taken place on the night? Theoretically
hundreds. As Dana Milbank's Washington Post report
shows it was only because someone noticed the
error in Volusia that it was corrected and remarkably
the software itself contains no automatic system
for rejecting negative vote totals being reported
by precincts, events which by definition can only
be nefarious and wrong.
At
2am another VNS error came into play. VNS's estimates
of the outstanding votes underestimated those
that remained to be counted by half, around 180,000.
The two errors combined led news executives at
CBS to conclude that Bush's final winning margin
in Florida would be around 30,000 votes. At this
stage Bush had a lead of around 50,000 votes and
late reporting precincts were expected to pare
this back as many of them were in Democrat leaning
counties.
At
2.16am Fox and NBC called the race to Bush, unaware
that the Volusia error had now been discovered.
Over at Associated Press - the news service that
Network News controllers do not read - the margin
to Bush had by now fallen to 30,000 after correcting
the Volusia error.
At
2.17am and 2.20am the remaining two major networks
CBS and ABC called the race to Bush. Their decision
continued to be bolstered by the VNS data stream
- which even at 2.47am - was still recording a
margin to Bush of close to 50,000 votes.
Remarkably
it was not till 2.51am that VNS fixed the Volusia
error in its data.
Meanwhile
with all the networks showing the race for the
White House won by Bush, the pressure is mounting
on Gore to concede.
In
the book, "Too Close to Call" by journalist Jeffrey
Toobin, the author gives a behind-the-scenes account
of how Gore reacted when the television networks
concluded that Bush had taken Florida.
"Al
Gore happened to be in the staff room on the seventh
floor when the votes spiked up in Bush's favor.
Dressed casually, the vice president was watching
television while lying on the floor, with his
chin propped up in his hands. As a result of the
Volusia votes, Fox News called Florida-and the
presidency-for Bush at 2:16 a.m. CBS and NBC followed
suit a minute later and ABC came in at 2:20 a.m.,"
Toobin wrote in his book.
"Following
the news reports, Gore was silent and absorbed
the news. A moment later he told members of his
campaign that he was ready to concede the election
to Bush, which he did several minutes later over
the telephone.
"Unwilling
to take the television networks reports at face
value, one of Gore's campaign staffers did a
little investigating and discovered that the
networks erred in stating that 50,000 votes
from Volusia county were cast for Bush. Turns
out that Gore was ahead by 13,000 votes in Volusia
and trailing Bush by 6,000 votes overall. Something
was wrong in Volusia it would be revealed later.
One
of Gore's campaign advisers then checked Florida's
law on recounts. The nearly dead heat between
Bush and Gore in Florida and the fact that Gore
was ahead in Volusia County meant a mandatory
recount. It was time to rescind Gore's concession
to Bush and scrutinize the ballots. Gore was
traveling in a motorcade en route to deliver
a concession speech to his supporters. His staff
stopped him. At this point, the margin between
Bush and Gore was down to 2,000 votes. A recount
was all but certain."
Gore
called Bush and Gore's staff surrounded the vice
president to listen in on what would become a
historic conversation at 2:30 a.m.
"Circumstances
have changed dramatically since I first called
you," Gore said to Bush, Toobin wrote. "The state
of Florida is too close to call."
"Are
you saying what I think you're saying?" Bush asked
according to Toobin. "Let me make sure that I
understand. You're calling back to retract that
concession?" Gore sensed an annoyance in Bush's
tone and shot back "you don't have to be snippy
about it."
Toobin
says Bush then told Gore that his "little brother",
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, had assured him that he
won the state of Florida and for that matter the
presidency of the United States.
"Let
me explain something," Toobin quoted Gore as saying
in his response to Bush. "Your little brother
is not the ultimate authority on this."
"You
do what you have to do," Bush said and hung up
the phone on Gore. When Gore turned around to
face his staff they exploded in cheers.
It
is not till 3.10am that the CBS news controllers
notice the huge difference between their numbers
and those of AP which by now show the margin to
Bush at under 10,000.
We
also know, thanks to the CBS inquiry report, that
by around 3.40am the Gore camp had decided not
to concede. Gore Campaign Chairman William Daley
rang CBS News President Andrew Heyward in the
control room and asked him whether CBS would be
reversing its call soon.
CBS's
Andrew Heyward waited another 15-20 minutes after
the phone call before ordering CBS to officially
withdraw the call to Bush. And by 4.05am all the
other networks had also withdrawn the call.
By
4.10am the reported Bush lead in the race had
dropped to 1800 votes, and thereabouts it remained
until the first recount - albeit the Florida Secretary
of State's office website reported the race to
Gore on the day after the vote.
And
it is there that the narrative in this tale ends
and the analysis starts.
In
its internal conclusions about these events the
CBS inquiry team found the two Diebold County
level errors, Volusia and Brevard, were conclusive
in their networks decision to call the race to
Bush.
"
The mistakes, both of which originated with the
counties, were critical, since there were only
about 3 percent of the state's precincts outstanding
at this time. They incorrectly increased Bush's
lead in the tabulated vote from about 27,000 to
more than 51,000. Had it not been for these
errors, the CBS News call for Bush at 2:17:52
AM would not have been made."
You
do not get much clearer than that.
The
record already shows that events of election night
2000 turned on the errors in the Volusia and Brevard
vote counts. Both of which occurred on Global
Election Systems (now Diebold) equipment.
Of
course we now know Al Gore did not concede.
But
had he done so would that have altered what followed?
Would there have been the hanging-chad phenomena,
the lawsuits over recounts and the recriminations?
Most
of what is contained in the preceding analysis
is well trodden territory. Everybody knows that
the TV networks screwed up big time on election
night, and the issue of bias at those networks
has also been well traversed.
What
has not been discussed, or even conceived of till
now, is that the events that occurred between
around midnight and 4am might have been the result
not of mistakes but of organised voting fraud.
Yet
that is precisely what Talbot Iredale and Ken
Clark's memos confirm is a distinct possibility,
in fact, reading between the lines they suggest
it is the most likely possibility.
Consider
this:
How
plausible is it that an error such as this - of
such magnitude, with no apparent physical explanation,
and in one of the few counties still receiving
incoming results that late in the night - was
really the simple result of a "faulty memory card"?
We
also now know, again thanks to the work of Black
Box Voting investigators like Washington State's
Bev Harris and California's Jim March, that the
Diebold vote tallying programme used in several
Florida counties, GEMS, is easily hackable,
both by outsiders and by insiders.
[See
Bev Harris's "Inside
A U.S. Election Vote Counting Program"
for details and Jim March's "DIEBOLD'S VOTE-TALLY
SOFTWARE- Security Review Instructions"for
a kit to demonstrate the hack on your own computer.]
We
do not know what would have happened had a full
state-wide recount been undertaken as the efforts
to have one were blocked in the courts.
Would
they have discovered other counties where unusual
events like those discovered in Brevard and Volusia
counties?
Is
it possible that the original VNS exit polling
data was closer to correct than conventional wisdom
suggests?
Is
it possible that less egregious vote stealing
took place in counties all over Florida?
Add
into the mix the blatant roll scrubbing in Florida
discovered by Greg Palast and exposed in his best-selling
book "The Best Democracy Money can buy"
and you have a recipe of reasons to reopen a full
scale inquiry into the Florida debacle.
Perhaps
more importantly. With paper-less touchscreen
voting systems in place in many Florida counties
come November 2004, should such events occur again,
there will be no record with which to conduct
a recount.
And
the other big mystery of course is this: if someone
did try to rig the election returns in Florida
in 2000, who was it?
******* STORY ENDS *******
Alastair
Thompson is an award winning New Zealand investigative
journalist and the Co-Editor of Scoop.co.nz.
This
report draws heavily from the work of Bev Harris
in her new book "Black
Box Voting in the 21st Century". California
based investigative reporter Jason Leopold also
contributed to this report.
For
more information on Black Box Voting: Ballot
Tampering In The 21st Century See http://www.blackboxvoting.com/ and it's
activist arm http://www.blackboxvoting.org/
Pre-Order your copy of Black Box Voting today
For
more background and live news links on this news
subject see also Scoop's Special Feature -
A Very American Coup
******* APPENDICES *******
APPENDIX ONE
EXTRACT FROM CBS REPORT INTO ELECTION 2000 - Pages
16 to 25
CBS NEWS COVERAGE OF ELECTION NIGHT 2000
Investigation, Analysis, Recommendations
Prepared By: Linda Mason, CBS News Kathleen
Frankovic, CBS News Kathleen Hall Jamieson,
The Annenberg School for Communication, University
of Pennsylvania January 2001 CBS News 2001
Full
report here
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/c2k/pdf/REPFINAL.pdf
*****
EXTRACT FROM REPORT BEGINS*****
16
THE FLORIDA CALLS
As
CBS News began its Election Night coverage at
7:00 PM on Tuesday, November 7, Dan Rather pointed
out that since Florida wasn't called when a majority
of the state's polls closed at 7:00 PM, this would
be a tight race. Rather told the audience, "We're
waiting on a possible decision in Florida, but
you've got time to put on another cup of coffee,
and pour it, because in Florida it's generally
considered to be so close that it may be a long
while before anybody is able to call it." Given
what eventually happened, that may have been the
wisest comment of the night. But less than 20
minutes later, CBS and other networks called Florida
for Gore, and the evening's roller-coaster ride
began. Let us review what happened.
The Call for Gore: How It Happened
7:00
PM: The vast majority of Florida polls close.
CBS News decides not to project a winner in the
Florida Presidential race at poll closing, even
though the best estimate, based upon exit-poll
interviews from the 45 survey precincts, shows
Gore leading Bush by 6.6 points. The Decision
Desk decides to wait for some actual votes from
sample precincts to confirm the exit-poll results.
7:40
PM: The VNS computation shows a "call" status
in the Florida Presidential race.
This
status means that statistically Gore is leading,
but the Decision Team needs to check more data.
7:45
PM: The CBS News Decision Team begins an
intensive review of the state exit polls and the
trickle of actual votes in the sample precincts.
The CBS News analysts look at the calculation
that compares the exit-poll results with the actual
votes in the same precincts. The CBS News Decision
Desk is aware that two years ago, in the VNS survey
of the Jeb Bush race for governor, exit polls
underestimated the Bush lead. This year, the exit
poll is overstating George W. Bush's vote in the
first precincts to report. The analysts had noticed
a similar overstatement earlier in the evening
in the Kentucky exit poll.
Now
the analysts examine the actual vote of the 4
percent of precincts statewide that have reported
at this time. Although the tabulated vote shows
Bush with a 6-point lead, they see this as an
early aberration, the result of absentee ballots
that had been entered into the system early in
the evening. The absentee vote was expected to
favor Bush, so the analysts do not consider this
one-time occurrence to be representative of the
vote to come.
Later,
this judgment proves to be incorrect. The CBS
News Decision Team also notes that the standard
margin of error on the estimates is small enough
to make the probability of a Gore win fall within
CBS News guidelines for a call.
7:48
PM: NBC projects Gore the winner in Florida.
Page 17
7:50:11
PM: CBS projects Gore the winner in Florida.
7:52:32
PM: VNS calls Florida for Gore.
Page 18
Analysis of the Call for Gore
The
outcome of the Florida election was a virtual
tie. In its ongoing review, VNS suggests that
the wrong call for Vice President Gore in Florida
could have resulted from a combination of many
factors. If any one of these had turned out differently,
it is very likely that the race would not have
been called. VNS has identified four possible
sources of error:
-
Estimate of the Absentee Vote. Absentee voters
tend to have different demographic profiles and
often vote differently than Election Day voters,
making it difficult to account accurately and
completely for absentee votes in the models.
As
the size of the absentee vote increases, so does
the potential for error in the estimates. The
model had estimated the size of the absentee vote
at 7.2 percent.
In
fact, it turned out to be 12 percent of the total
Florida vote. The model also assumed that the
absentees would be 22.4 points more Republican
than Election Day voters. They turned out to be
23.7 points more Republican.
- Sampling Error. The results of the exit poll
normally vary from the actual tabulated vote by
a small amount ("sampling error"). A large difference
between the exit-poll results and the tabulated
vote for that precinct would suggest the possibility
of interviewing problems. The amount of this error
in Florida fell within the normal range for an
exit poll, although it was at the high end.
However,
the exit-poll sample itself, even after the actual
vote totals from those precincts were examined,
was also more pro-Gore than the state as a whole.
- Past-Race Comparisons. One of the most important
ways that VNS models form estimates of the vote
is to compare current exit-poll data and tabulated
votes with data from past elections. Throughout
the night, the 1998 Florida gubernatorial race
was used as the past-race comparison. However,
had the model used a different past race (either
the 1996 Presidential election or the 1998 Senate
race), it would have produced a more accurate
estimate.
- Distortions Caused by the Time of Reporting.
At 7:50 PM, there were only six precincts with
both exit-poll data and actual reported vote.
The estimate of the average error within those
precincts suggested that the survey was actually
underestimating the Gore lead by 1.7 percentage
points, when in reality it turned out later that
the exit poll was overestimating the Gore lead
by 2.8 points. Miami and Tampa, the areas that
had the biggest overstatement of the Gore lead
in the exit polls, had reported no actual votes
by 7:50 PM, so there was nothing to contradict
the distortion in the exit polls.
Page 19
Withdrawing the Call for Gore: How It Happened
8:02
PM: By this time, VNS and all its members
have projected Gore the winner in Florida.
8:10
PM: The CBS News analysts have been rechecking
the Florida race and feel even more confident
about the call for Gore, based on the data available
at 8:10.
9:00
PM: A member of the CBS News Decision Team
notices a change in one of the Florida computations.
One of the estimates, the one based solely on
tabulated county votes, is now showing a Bush
lead. Alerted, the team begins to review Florida
and discovers problems with the data.
9:07
PM: VNS reports county-tabulated vote data
from one county, Duval, that puts Gore in the
lead in the tabulated-vote estimate. It turns
out that this was an error, apparently an entry
mistake by a keypunch operator at VNS headquarters.
Although this error occurs long after the Gore
call has been made, it seems to support the accuracy
of a Gore win until the data-entry mistake is
discovered. (The wrong data showed Gore receiving
98 percent of the tabulated vote. In the end,
he received only 41 percent of the vote in Duval.)
9:38
PM: VNS discovers the error and deletes the
Duval County vote from the system, sending a correction
to all members. Gore's total in Florida is reduced
by 40,000 votes.
9:54
PM: The CBS News Decision Desk recommends
that the call in Florida for Gore be withdrawn.
CBS is in a local cutaway at 9:54 PM (the seven
minutes at the end of the hour when local stations
broadcast their own election results), and so
CBS does not withdraw the call until 10:00 PM.
10:16
PM: VNS retracts its Florida call for Gore.
Page 20
The Call for Bush and Its Withdrawal: How It Happened
2:00
AM: The CBS News Decision Team tracks
the Bush margin in the Florida popular vote. He
leads by 29,000 votes in VNS, with some strongly
Democratic counties yet to complete their counts.
But the AP numbers are telling a different story.
The AP independently collects election returns from
each county. Since 1:12 AM, AP tabulations show
the Bush lead dropping precipitously. But the people
on the CBS News Decision Desk are not following
the AP reports, nor are they listening to Ed Bradley
in the studio talking about irregularities and outstanding
Democratic votes in Florida.
At
1:43:43, Bradley points to the fact that a third
of the vote is not yet in from Dade and Broward
Counties, which are Democratic strongholds. At
1:48:10, Bradley says: "Bush ahead by 38,000 votes.
And still out there, about 5 percent of the vote
is still out, 270,000 votes. So that's a big chunk
of votes." Bradley has been getting additional
information from the AP wire, as well as from
CBS News Correspondent Byron Pitts, who is reporting
from Florida that there are a number of counties
still tabulating votes, many of them predominantly
Democratic.
What
has not yet been discovered is an erroneous entry
from another Florida county, Volusia. Because
of a faulty computer memory card, the county has
reported votes that are off by thousands. The
initial report from Precinct 216 incorrectly subtracts
more than 16,000 votes from Gore's total and adds
votes to Bush's total.
2:05
AM: Bush leads by 29,386 on the VNS screens,
with 96 percent of the precincts reporting. The
models project a very small Bush win for the end
of the night. But at this time there is still
no way to call the race.
2:09
AM: VNS adds Volusia County's erroneous numbers
to its tabulated vote. With 171 out of 172 precincts
in the county reporting, Gore's vote drops by
more than 10,000 while Bush's rises by almost
the same amount. This 20,000-vote change in one
county increases Bush's VNS statewide lead to
more than 51,000 votes.
2:09:32
AM: At almost the same time, Bradley fires
off what in retrospect was a warning shot, but
one that sails right by the CBS News Decision
Desk: "Among the votes that aren't counted are
Volusia County. Traditionally they're one of the
last counties to come in. That's an area that
has 260,000 registered voters. Many of them are
black and most of them are Democrat."
2:10
AM: The CBS News Decision Desk begins to seriously
discuss calling Florida for Bush. According to
the new VNS vote count, Bush is ahead by 51,433
votes, with 5,575,730 votes counted in 97 percent
of the precincts statewide. The CBS News Decision
Desk looks at how many votes are outstanding in
three major Democratic counties (Dade, Palm Beach
and Broward). The statistical analysis projects
that Bush's margin of victory will remain greater
than 30,000 votes even when those counties are
factored in.
Page 21
But
there is an error in the assumption: instead of
the 179,713 votes the VNS model says have yet
to be counted, there are in fact about twice as
many outstanding votes, many of them absentee
ballots from Palm Beach County. Bush's lead in
the VNS count includes the 20,000-vote error undercounting
Gore in Volusia County and does not include 4,000
additional votes for Gore in Brevard County. These
24,000 votes would have nearly eliminated the
30,000-vote final Bush margin the CBS News Decision
Desk has estimated. There would have been no call
if these errors had not been in the system.
2:12
AM: In the AP count, Bush's margin falls
to 47,854. (But again, the Decision Desk is not
checking the AP wire.)
2:16
AM: Fox calls Florida for Bush. The immediate
reaction of the CBS News analysts is frustration
because the CBS News Decision Desk is within minutes
of calling the race itself. The CBS News analysts
spend the next 90 seconds confirming the numbers.
2:16
AM: NBC calls Florida for Bush.
2:16
AM: The AP lead for Bush drops by 17,000
votes, to 30,000.
This
17,000-vote drop, occurring in only four minutes,
is the Volusia County correction.
But
VNS does not catch the correction until later,
and no one on the CBS News Decision Desk is watching
the AP wire or listening to Bradley's reporting.
2:16:17
AM: Dan Rather talks with Bradley about outstanding
absentee votes and the potentially large number
of votes still out in Daytona (Volusia County).
2:17:52
AM: The CBS News Decision Desk calls Florida
for Bush, and Rather declares him the winner of
the Presidential election.
2:20
AM: ABC calls Florida for Bush.
2:40
AM: VNS is showing Bush with a lead of 55,537,
with only 68,579 votes left to be counted. Had
the CBS News Decision Desk analysts not made the
call at 2:17, they say, they would have made it
at 2:40.
2:47
AM: The AP reports the Bush lead down to
13,934.
2:48
AM: VNS shows the Bush lead at 55,449.
2:51
AM: VNS corrects its Volusia error, and Bush's
lead drops to 39,606.
2:52
AM: The AP reports the Bush lead down to
11,090.
Page 22
22
2:55 AM: With a large report of votes from
Palm Beach County, VNS reports the Bush lead down
to 9,163.
3:00
AM: Rather tells the audience to stay tuned:
"We haven't heard yet from either Al Gore or from
the triumphant Governor Bush. We do expect to
hear from them in the forthcoming minutes."
3:10 AM: A consultant in the CBS News studio
working with Lesley Stahl at the House and Governors'
Desk informs the CBS News Decision Desk of the
huge drop in the Bush lead, and the CBS News Decision
Team begins investigating the numbers. It also
begins tracking numbers on the Florida Secretary
of State's Web site and from the AP. While the
three sets of numbers are different, all of them
show that the race has narrowed tremendously.
At this time, there is no report from VNS analyzing
what has brought about this dramatic change.
3:32
AM: There has been much anticipation during
the last half-hour about the expected Gore concession
speech. Rather gives a possible and uncannily
prescient explanation for Gore's absence: "It
wouldn't surprise anybody, least of all your narrator,
if Al Gore said, 'You know what? I am not going
to concede this thing because it's just too close.
I want somebody to get in there and recount those
ballots'"
3:40
AM: Bush's lead drops to 6,060 votes.
At
around this time, but he is not sure exactly when,
CBS News President Andrew Heyward receives a call
in the control room from Gore Campaign Chairman
William Daley. It lasts less than a minute. Daley
asks whether Heyward is aware of the dwindling
Bush lead and whether CBS News is considering
pulling back its call for Bush. Heyward is noncommittal
and asks what Gore is planning to do. Daley says,
"I'll get right back to you," hangs up and does
not call back. There is more talk in the studio
between Rather and the correspondents about the
peculiarities now emerging in the Florida vote
count.
They
discuss the AP count of the decreasing margin
for Bush.
3:48
AM: Rather says, "Now the situation at the
moment is, nobody knows for a fact who has won
Florida. Far be it from me to question one of
our esteemed leaders [CBS management], but somebody
needs to begin explaining why Florida has now
not been pulled back to the undecided category."
He goes on to say, "A senior Gore aide is quoted
by Reuters as confirming that Gore has withdrawn
[his] concession in the U.S. President race."
3:57
AM: The Bush margin has narrowed to fewer
than 2,000 votes. Before the CBS News Decision
Desk can officially advise a retraction, CBS News
President Heyward, who has been watching the Bush
lead melt away and listening to Rather and Bradley
discuss the Florida situation, orders that CBS
News retract the call for Bush.
4:05
AM: By this time, the other networks rescind
the Florida call for Bush.
Page 23
4:10 AM: Bush's lead drops to 1,831 votes,
which is roughly where it remains until the first
recount.
Page 24
Analysis of the Call for Bush
The
call was based entirely on the tabulated county
vote. There were several data errors that were
responsible for that mistake. The most egregious
of the data errors has been well documented. Vote
reports from Volusia County severely understated
Gore's actual total when a faulty computer memory
card reported votes that were off by thousands.
That
precinct, Number 216, subtracted more than 16,000
votes from Gore's total and added votes to Bush's
total. In addition, an apparent reporting error
in Brevard County reduced Gore's total by an additional
4,000 votes.
The
mistakes, both of which originated with the counties,
were critical, since there were only about 3 percent
of the state's precincts outstanding at this time.
They incorrectly increased Bush's lead in the
tabulated vote from about 27,000 to more than
51,000. Had it not been for these errors, the
CBS News call for Bush at 2:17:52 AM would not
have been made. While the errors should have been
caught by VNS and CBS News analysts through a
comparison of VNS data with data from the AP or
the Florida Secretary of State, VNS computers
could also have had a more sophisticated program
that would have constantly compared one set of
numbers with the others and raised a warning signal.
(Unlike
the television networks, the Associated Press
never called Florida for Bush, and, as we mentioned
earlier, neither did VNS.) There was another problem:
the VNS end-of-the-night model uses a straightforward
projection of the number of precincts yet to report
in each county. It assumes that the outstanding
precincts in each county will be of average size
and will vote in the same way as the precincts
that have already reported from that county. However,
at 2:17 AM there were more as-yet-uncounted votes
than the model predicted. In fact, in Palm Beach
County, a heavily Democratic area, there were
three times as many votes yet to be reported as
the model predicted. Some of that appears to be
accounted for by the late release by county election
officials of a large absentee vote.
Page 25
Conclusion
As we have seen above, the first Florida call
for Gore was probably unavoidable, given the current
system of projecting winners. Early in the evening,
the sample that VNS selected to represent voters
statewide overestimated Gore's lead, and a call
was made for him. As the tabulated vote started
accumulating, Gore lost his apparent lead, and
a decision was made to take back the call. The
ongoing VNS reviews have determined that the exit-poll
sample of precincts in this election did not adequately
represent the state.
The
exit-poll sample estimated a significant Gore
lead that never materialized. That fact remained
unknown until the actual vote count. The sampling
data and exit polling did not take into account
the 12 percent of the Florida vote that was cast
by absentee ballot, which also affected the quality
of the data. The CBS News Decision Desk could
not have known about these problems.
However,
the second Florida call, the one for Bush, could
have been avoided. It was based, as we have seen,
on a combination of faulty tabulations entered
into the total Florida vote, with an especially
large error from Volusia County that exaggerated
Bush's lead. Later, in the early morning hours,
reports from large precincts in Palm Beach were
recorded, along with a surge of absentee ballots
from that county. When the Volusia County numbers
were corrected and the new numbers from Palm Beach
taken into account, the Bush lead shrank, and
a decision was made to take back the Bush call.
The call might have been avoided, if there had
been better communication between the CBS News
Decision Desk and the CBS News studio and newsgathering
operations, which had been reporting ballot irregularities
and large numbers of potentially Democratic votes
still outstanding, and if the VNS vote totals
had been checked against the ones from the AP
and the Florida Secretary of State's Web site.
The AP corrected the Volusia County error 35 minutes
before VNS did, and one minute before CBS News
made its call.
And,
despite all the understandable focus on the Florida
calls, they were not the only mistaken calls of
the night.
*****
EXTRACT FROM REPORT ENDS *****
###### *** ######
APPENDIX TWO - THE DIEBOLD MEMOS
Archive
of Diebold Memos related to Volusia County 2000
incident
NOTE: The originals of these memos can
be viewed online via a project located at: http://why-war.com/features/2003/10/diebold.html
CONTENTS
Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election) Guy Lancaster 2
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) John McLaurin 2
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Ken Clark 0
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Guy Lancaster 0
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Ian S. Piper 2
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) John McLaurin 2
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) John McLaurin 0
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Ian S. Piper 0
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Talbot Iredale 2
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) John McLaurin 1
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election) Ken Clark 0
Re: Investigation of Volusia's Memory Cards.
John McLaurin
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**********
To: Support "Support"
Subject: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000
November Election)
From: Guy Lancaster
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 11:41:08 -0800
Organization:
Global Election Systems Inc.
References:
**********
This
is an overview on what memory card checksum errors
are. Exactly what causes them is a separate question.
The
memory card is very simply a programmable memory
device with a battery backup. The Accu-Vote accesses
this memory directly. If something goes wrong
when the Accu-Vote is writing new data to the
memory card or if the Accu-Vote crashes (as computers
have been known to do) and writes to random memory
locations, then the data on the memory card may
be corrupted (nasty word I know but it fits).
All this means is that the data is modified in
an unintentional manner. This could also happen
without an Accu-Vote through static discharge
or some types of radiation (i.e. old airport scanners,
cosmic rays???).
There
are several mechanisms that we could use to detect
this. We use the simplest of these which is to
treat the data as a series of numbers and store
totals of sets of those numbers as separate data
known as checksums. If the data has been modified
without updating the checksums, then the checksums
will fail to add up.
The
Accu-Vote keeps three different types of checksums
for three different classes of data. These are
text, counters, and precinct. The text checksums
cover all the titles and names that are used mostly
just for printing reports. Since the text data
does not affect the other operations, we check
it only occasionally and we allow most operations
to continue after a warning.
The
counters and precinct data are considered critical
and the Accu-Vote is largely inoperable when these
checksums fail. We do support the option to clear
the counters if only they have been affected and
then counting may be restarted. However there
is no way to recover from corruption of the precinct
data other than to clear and re-download the memory
card.
All
checksums are validated upon insertion of a memory
card or at power on. Thus this is the most common
time to detect problems. However the counter and
precinct checksums are validated every time a
new ballot is scanned. If an error is detected,
counting is aborted.
Now
to Lana's questions. The above should answer everything
other than why erroneous data managed to upload.
I
see two possible explanations.
One
is that the data was corrupted after the checksums
were validated. In this case the errors would
show the next time the checksums were checked.
The other possibility is the miniscule chance
that the erroneous data managed to add up to the
correct checksum. The checksums are stored as
totals ranging from 0 to 65535 so the chance of
this happening are less than 60,000 to 1 just
based on that. Other factors add to this to make
it extremely unlikely. However in this case the
card would not later show checksum errors.
So
John, can you satisfy Lana's request from this?
I can't without more details.
Guy
John
McLaurin wrote:
Please
see below and let me know what you think. Tab,
one of these issues we discussed - it's the one
were we printed the audit report showing the check
sum error and the poll worker restarting the unit.
Please let me know what you guys think.
John
-----Original
Message-----
From: Lana Hires
Sent: Wednesday, January 17, 2001 8:07 AM
To: jmglobal Glanca
Cc:
Deanie Lowe
Subject: 2000 November Election
Hi
Nel, Sophie & Guy (you to John),
I
need some answers! Our department is being audited
by the County.
I
have been waiting for someone to give me an explanation
as to why Precinct 216 gave Al Gore a minus 16022
when it was uploaded. Will someone please explain
this so that I have the information to give the
auditor instead of standing here "looking dumb".
I
would appreciate an explanation on why the memory
cards start giving check sum messages. We had
this happen in several precincts and one of these
precincts managed to get her memory card out of
election mode and then back in it, continued to
read ballots, not realizing that the 300+ ballots
she had read earlier were no longer stored in
her memory card . Needless to say when we did
our hand count this was discovered.
Any
explantations you all can give me will be greatly
appreciated.
Thanks
bunches,
Lana
**********
Follow-Ups:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Ken Clark"
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To: "Support"
Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 14:56:15 -0500
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to: <3A6746D4.6D7B0E4B@gesn.com>
**********
Thanks
Guy, - the pollworker did restart the unit and
eventually put the unit back in election mode.
It did not require redownloading the card. Am
I missing something in your explanation to understand
this?
John
**********
Follow-Ups:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: Guy Lancaster
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Ian S. Piper"
References:
Memory
card checksum errors (was: 2000 November Election)
From: Guy Lancaster
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To: "Support"
Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "Ken Clark"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 14:13:46 -0600
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to: <3A6746D4.6D7B0E4B@gesn.com>
**********
From: owner-"Support" [mailto:owner-"Support"]On
Behalf Of Guy Lancaster
Sent: Thursday, January 18, 2001 1:41 PM
Now
to Lana's questions. The above should answer everything
other than why erroneous data managed to upload.
I see two possible explanations. One is that the
data was corrupted after the checksums were validated.
In this case the errors would show the next time
the checksums were checked. The other possibility
is the [60k to 1] chance that the erroneous data
managed to add up to the correct checksum.
My
understanding is that the card was not corrupt
after (or before) upload. They fixed the problem
by clearing the precinct and re-uploading the
same card. So neither of these explainations washes.
That's not to say I have any idea what actually
happened, its just not either of those.
So
John, can you satisfy Lana's request from this?
I can't without more details.
The
problem is its going to be very hard to collect
enough data to really know what happened. The
card isn't corrupt so we can't post-mortem it
(its not mort). Guy if you can get the exact counter
numbers that were uploaded into the races (not
just president) perhaps you could guess the nature
of the corruption at least, but if I had to bet
the numbers were just garbage and you won't be
able to tell.
About
the only constructive suggestion I have is to
insert a line in the AV upload code to check that
candvotes + undervotes = votefor*timescounted.
If it happens, punt. That would have at least
prevented the embarrassment of negative votes,
which is really what this is all about. Then John
can go to Lana and tell her it has never happened
before and that it will never happen again.
Ken
**********
References:
Memory
card checksum errors (was: 2000 November Election)
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To: "Support"
Subject:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: Guy Lancaster
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 12:23:47 -0800
Organization: Global Election Systems Inc.
References:
**********
John
McLaurin wrote:
Thanks
Guy, - the pollworker did restart the unit and
eventually put the unit back in election mode.It
did not require redownloading the card.Am I missing
something in your explanation to understand this?
You're
probably missing the same details that I am. >From
Lana's description she is referring to several
checksum error events. One of them sounds like
a simple counter error that could be cleared and
restarted. I don't think this is the same event
as the bad upload.
Guy
**********
References:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
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To: "Support"
Subject:
RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Ian S. Piper"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 14:35:01 -0600
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to:
**********
Steve
Ricke has been running tests on a specific unit
from Seminole. He had a checksum error occur and
had the same result of the card resetting to pre-election
mode and being able to reset for election mode
and continue. After that one error, he has since
run thousands of ballots through without a repeat
of the error. The original audit report for the
Seminole corrupted memory card showed that it
had experienced the same error when Mickey Martin
and company were recounting ballots on November
9, 2000. Still testing.
Below
is the sequence of events for this error. Hope
it helps.
Ian
1.
Ran test using memory card and accu-vote (Ser.#
71586) which had been corrupted in Seminole County,
Florida.
2.
Ran three 2000 ballot tests in election mode in
McKinney.
3.
Unit failed only once which was during the second
2000 ballot test (at about 1300 ballots),
4.
Message on display "Corrupt count see official",
5.
Pressed YES and NO buttons several seconds each
with no change of message,
6.
Turned unit OFF, then ON- resulted in "Please
reinsert memory card" message,
7.
Repeated turning unit OFF then ON with the same
message result,
8.
Reinserted card (Power ON) message displayed now
"counter error ok to continue?",
9.
if answered NO, returns to "Please reinsert memory
card" message,
10.
If answered YES, then message displayed is "Clear
counters and recount?",
11.
If answered YES, card is reset to pre-election
mode and displays "Test ballots?",
12.
We set card back into election mode. Ran another
2000 ballots without failure.
Will
continue to try with other cards and accu-votes
from other counties.
Steve
Ricke
**********
Follow-Ups:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
References:
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Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 15:44:50 -0500
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to: <01d101c0818e$2218be80$3c03a8c0@obrien>
**********
There
are two separate issues/problems that are getting
combined in this stream.
-
a check sum error occurred which the poll worker
reset and continued counting the card "did not"
require downloading before be reset. She never
reran the previously counted ballots and this
resulted in some negative PR post election. So
that is Lana's primary question, how did this
happen? Ken explanation sounds like a good one
and will not require a line for VTS if we can
ever get to GEMS.
-
the negative numbers on media display occurred
when Lana attempted to reupload a card or duplicate
card. Sophia and Tab may be able to shed some
light here, keeping in mind that the boogie man
may me reading our mail. Do we know how this could
occur?
**********
Follow-Ups:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Ian S. Piper"
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Talbot Iredale"
References:
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Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
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From: "John McLaurin"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 15:45:54 -0500
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**********
PS
- this was not the same precinct causing both
problems if my memory is correct - Sophie? Tab?
**********
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Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
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From: "Ian S. Piper"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 14:55:06 -0600
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to:
**********
I
agree. Steve Ricke's sequence of events only relates
to item 1 and how the memory card may have been
reset. I thought it might shed some light on the
subject.
Ian
**********
References:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
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Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
**********
To: "Support"
Subject: Re: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "Talbot Iredale"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 13:31:04 -0800
References:
**********
John,
Here is all the information I have about the 'negative'
counts.
Only
the presidential totals were incorrect. All the
other races the sum of the votes + under votes
+ blank votes = sum of ballots cast.
The
problem precinct had two memcory cards uploaded.
The second one is the one I believe caused the
problem. They were uploaded on the same port approx.
1 hour apart. As far as I know there should only
have been one memory card uploaded. I asked you
to check this out when the problem first occured
but have not heard back as to whether this is
true.
When
the precinct was cleared and re-uploaded (only
one memory card as far as I know) everything was
fine.
Given
that we transfer data in ascii form not binary
and given the way the data was 'invalid' the error
could not have occured during transmission. Therefore
the error could only occur in one of four ways:
1.
Corrupt memory card. This is the most likely explaination
for the problem but since I know nothing about
the 'second' memory card I have no ability to
confirm the probability of this.
2.
Invalid read from good memory card. This is unlikely
since the candidates results for the race are
not all read at the same time and the corruption
was limited to a single race. There is a possiblilty
that a section of the memory card was bad but
since I do not know anything more about the 'second'
memory card I cannot validate this.
3.
Corruption of memory, whether on the host or Accu-Vote.
Again this is unlikely due to the localization
of the problem to a single race. Invalid memory
card (i.e. one that should not have been uploaded).
4.
There is always the possiblity that the 'second
memory card' or 'second upload' came from an un-authorised
source.
If this problem is to be properly answered we
need to determine where the 'second' memory card
is or whether it even exists. I do know that there
were two uploads from two different memory cards
(copy 0 (master) and copy 3).
Tab
**********
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Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Ken Clark"
References:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
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RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
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To: "Support"
Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "John McLaurin"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 16:56:06 -0500
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to: <011801c08195$f6781930$1404a8c0@gesn.com>
**********
Tab,
I
will be visiting with Lana on Monday and will
ascertain the particulars related to the second
memory card. One concern I've had all along is
"if" we are getting the full story from Lana.
I'll
be back in touch and thanks for all of y'alls
(that's southern for all of you) help.
John
**********
Follow-Ups:
Re: Memory card checksum errors Seminole Cty.
From: "John McLaurin"
References:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Talbot Iredale"
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(was: 2000 November Election)
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RE: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
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To: "Support"
Subject: RE: Memory card checksum errors (was:
2000 November Election)
From: "Ken Clark"
Date: Thu, 18 Jan 2001 16:42:50 -0600
Importance: Normal
In-reply-to: <011801c08195$f6781930$1404a8c0@gesn.com>
**********
From: owner-"Support"
On Behalf Of Talbot Iredale
Sent: Thursday, January 18, 2001 3:31 PM
Given that we transfer data in ascii form not
binary and given the way the data was 'invalid'
the error could not have occured during transmission.
Therefore the error could only occur in one of
four ways:
(2)
Invalid read from good memory card. This is unlikely
since the candidates results for the race are
not all read at the same time and the corruption
was limited to a single race. There is a possiblilty
that a section of the memory card was bad but
since I do not know anything more about the 'second'
memory card I cannot validate this.
Not
necessarily. We grab a pointer to the head of
the candidate counters for a race and then keep
that pointer as the base for the current race.
If that base was bogus (pointing at code say)
because of some hardware glitch, then we would
just happily walk the race looking at garbage.
Next race the pointer base is changed and everything
is okay. Now, this is still all "unlikely", but
then again this has never happened before.
(4)
Invalid memory card (i.e. one that should not
have been uploaded). There is always the possiblity
that the 'second memory card' or 'second upload'
came from an un-authorised source.
If this problem is to be properly answered we
need to determine where the 'second' memory card
is or whether it even exists.
Heh.
Second shooter theory. All we need now is a grassy
knoll.
Ken
**********
References:
Re: Memory card checksum errors (was: 2000 November
Election)
From: "Talbot Iredale"
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Re: Investigation of Volusia's Memory Cards.
**********
**********
To: Support "Support"
Subject: Re: Investigation of Volusia's Memory
Cards.
From: Guy Lancaster
Date: Mon, 26 Feb 2001 11:04:38 -0800
Organization:
Global Election Systems Inc.
References:
**********
John
McLaurin wrote:
I guess there are two items that I would like
to be able to say to Volusia and other FL Counties.
1) we've put something in place that will prevent
a poll worker who gets a "check sum error" from
restarting the AVOS unit without going through
supervisor functions. What caused all the media
hype is that the poll worker was able to reset
the unit and hence missed recounting the original
ballots.
John, I'm taking this to support because these
suggestions/questions are something that we all
face.
1.
If you're advocating a change to the AVOS firmware,
you *should* discuss this on the support list
and once you (or whoever) have determined how
it should be implemented, it should be posted
as an RCR.
2.
Just to ensure that we're speaking the same language,
the term "CHECKSUM ERROR" is from the AVOS audit
log report. I would prefer to call this event
as "corrupted counters" because, for reasons that
will likely never be known, the AV detected that
the vote counters stored on the memory card were
not in order.
In
fact the AVOS checks several types of redundancy
in the counters and could find a problem even
if the sums checked out properly. The user (probably
a voter) on feeding a ballot in count mode AFTER
the counters have been corrupted would be prompted
with "CORRUPT COUNT SEE OFFICIAL" and the unit
would return the ballot and stop functioning.
The reason that this happens after is that we
use some of the time that we're waiting for the
ballot to be scanned to run a check of the memory
card and so any problem found was probably caused
by an earlier event such as the previous ballot.
The above forces the AV to be reset (power cycled).
If the error was not transient (likely it wasn't
because some time ago we programmed it to double
check the problem before locking up), then the
AV will prompt "COUNTER ERROR OK TO CONTINUE?"
and then "CLEAR COUNTERS AND RECOUNT?". One vote
center in Volusia quietly did clear the counters
but failed to recount the previously processed
ballots.
If may be entirely reasonable that we would want
to prompt for the supervisor password before actually
allowing the counters to be reset but I'm not
convinced that this would have prevented the situation.
It seems that the poll workers there were just
doing things on their own and would have entered
the password and continued. Maybe not. The critical
failing is that they did not report the problem.
What do others think?
I understand that in election mode this is impossible,
we need to make it so for this type of error as
well. Hopefully that would not require a certification
review.
This all occurred in election mode. I think you
are trying to say that normally you cannot clear
the counters in election mode without using the
supervisor password. The current method of handling
corrupt counters is an exception to that rule.
All firmware and software changes require a certification
review, ESPECIALLY IN FLORIDA. Florida does their
own state certification review.
2)
If we can, we need to be able to tell Volusia
why this happened on four different memory cards.
Check Sum Errors are rare in my history with Global,
even more rare for the customer base I believe
. I need a non-techie, in plain English , a few
short sentences at most, on why it happened. In
Volusia they and the review committee are still
waiting on an answer.
I suspect that you are referring specifically
to counter corruptions because checksum errors
and other memory card problems are not very rare
at all. Does anyone care to try to compose a non-techie
explanation as to what could have caused this?
Guy
**********
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###### *** ######
APPENDIX 3 - Dana Milbank's Report At Election
Time
Tragicomedy of Errors Fuels Volusia Recount
By Dana Milbank
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday , November 12, 2000 ; Page A22
SOURCE: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/demonews/message/222?source=1
DELAND,
Fla., Nov. 11 - Something very strange happened
on election night to Deborah Tannenbaum, a Democratic
Party official in Volusia County. At 10 p.m., she
called the county elections department and learned
that Al Gore was leading George W. Bush 83,000 votes
to 62,000.
But
when she checked the county's Web site for an
update half an hour later, she found a startling
development: Gore's count had dropped by 16,000
votes, while an obscure Socialist candidate had
picked up 10,000--all because of a single precinct
with only 600 voters.
The
aberration was relayed to County Judge Michael
McDermott, the election overseer. "We have a problem
here," he said.
It
was the beginning of a week-long tragicomedy of
errors in this central Florida county, where an
initial count showed Gore beating Bush by 97,063
votes to 82,214. Volusia's mess is in some ways
more damning than the mix-up in Palm Beach County,
where controversy has centered on a confusing
ballot design. Although there is no evidence that
the first round of results was wildly inaccurate,
the problems in counting votes here are systemic.
The underlying causes are not fraud or corruption,
but lax state oversight, inadequate funding, technological
glitches, poor training--and general ineptitude.
Consider
these events:
On
election night, six precincts couldn't transmit
their results because of computer problems, and
the county's returns were delayed until 3 a.m.
About that time, sheriff's deputies were dispatched
to find an election worker who had left the ballot
collection area with two uninspected bags.
Wednesday,
when county officials were attempting a recount
in front of TV cameras, an elderly poll worker
walked in with a bag full of ballots that had
been left in his car the previous night.
By
Thursday, the elections office was surrounded
by police tape, and a local Bush official was
thrown out of a meeting for getting too rowdy.
Friday,
county workers found a ballot bag in their vault
without a seal, another with a broken seal and
a third on a shelf with ballots spilling out.
Meanwhile, dozens of black students from a local
college complained they were turned away from
polling stations even though they were registered
to vote.
This
morning, 300 county workers and hundreds more
party observers converged on county offices for
a manual recount of nearly 200,000 ballots that
was later postponed until Sunday. The confusion
in Volusia, one of four counties where Democrats
have requested manual recounts, suggests why such
an arduous process may be necessary. But it also
suggests that a central argument of the Republicans
who tried today to stop the recounts--that they
won't resolve anything--may have some validity.
"No
wonder people in the North think we're a bunch
of bumbling idiots--because we are," says James
Clayton, a DeLand lawyer--and he represents Bush.
"From a practical standpoint, nobody has any faith
in the system."
Douglas
Daniels, a lawyer for Gore here, predicts there
will be "television movies about how the election
was stolen in Volusia County." He frets that Volusia
will become conspiracy theorists' new "Grassy
Knoll gunman."
Doug
Lewis, an election expert who runs the non-profit
Election Center in Washington, says many of the
troubles in Florida would be found anywhere if
a close election were scrutinized. "If anything,
the elections officials in Florida live to a higher
standard," he said. But told of the happenings
in Volusia, Lewis revised his opinion. "If these
things are true, this is an exception," he says.
"This is one that would embarrass all of us."
In
some ways that is not surprising. The county,
which encompasses Orlando bedroom communities
on bustling Interstate 4, Daytona Beach and a
growing population of Hispanics and northern retirees,
was known decades ago for shootouts, ambushes
and stolen ballot boxes at election time. "We
have a sordid history of election fraud in this
county," Circuit Judge John Doyle wrote in a 1997
ruling.
In
that case, a challenge to Volusia's 1996 sheriff
election, Doyle focused on incompetence, attributing
"gross negligence" to election supervisor Deanie
Lowe and her canvassing board but allowing the
election to stand. They missed about 1,000 votes
and illegally re-marked absentee ballots with
black markers, among other things. In 1998, Lowe
had to re-issue about 1,200 misprinted absentee
ballots. And another ballot was found to have
violated state law requiring that candidates for
nonpartisan office be listed alphabetically.
Lowe,
in a hurried interview last week, defended the
office's performance. "There's no trouble," she
said. "Everything humanly possible was done to
make sure it was a fair election."
Nobody
alleges fraud in Volusia, and it's possible the
mishaps haven't substantially altered the election's
results. As Lowe points out, each of the problems
can be explained. For example, it turned out that
the election worker who left with two bags was
merely taking home dirty laundry. Had the presidential
election not come down to a couple of hundred
votes in Florida, the troubles here might have
gone unnoticed.
County
spokesman David Byron boasts that a recount found
"exactly the same" tally and suggests that this
vindicates the county. But the recount he refers
to was a comparison between the data in the computer
and the computer printout. The actual ballots
were not scrutinized. That's a little like saying
a word-processing document contains no spelling
errors because a printout matches the version
on the screen.
Although
Volusia County is a microcosm of the tremendous
changes from growth and suburbanization that Florida
has undergone in the past decades, the way it
runs its elections seems something of a throwback
to its rural past. In the past five years, the
number of registered voters in the county has
increased 28 percent, from 203,000 to 260,000,
but the money to hold elections hasn't grown proportionately.
Lowe said she hasn't asked for big budget increases,
using a $1 million computer system introduced
in 1994 to do more with less. Still, there are
problems. "I'd like a new building," Lowe said.
As
the recounting progressed last week, the elections
department was mobbed by sheriff's deputies checking
everything--even office supplies--that entered
a secured area for signs of stray ballots. When
20 boxes of Hungry Howie's pizza arrived for lunch
Friday, Phil Giorno, the Democratic county chairman,
teased the cops: "Did somebody check those?"
Finally
on Friday, election officials had to relocate
the recounting operation to other county offices
across the street. While the nation waited for
Volusia's results, men piled the 300 ballot bags
on a truck under the supervision of guards, witnesses
and McDermott, who joked that after all the years
he spent on the bench, "now I'm telling people
how to load a truck."
Though
Lowe insists funding isn't an issue in Volusia,
the Election Center's Lewis says money is a particular
problem in poorer areas and those experiencing
large growth, where infrastructure and police
get priority over elections. Training also seems
to be an issue for Volusia's 2,000 poll workers.
That
was underscored when poll worker Gene Tracy, 79,
walked into the election office Wednesday explaining
how a bag of ballots was left in his car. "I about
had a cotton-pickin' stroke," he told a local
reporter. "I hollered for my wife and I said,
'The dadburn ballots are still in the car.' "
Technology
is also a problem. Though Volusia's new system
(in which ballots are marked with a felt pen and
put in a scanner) is superior to Palm Beach's
baffling ballot, faulty "memory cards" in the
machines caused the 16,000-vote disappearance
on election night. The glitch was soon fixed.
Also, Volusia secures ballots in blue canvas tote
bags, sealed with tape that keeps popping off.
Its fancy system also has a problem accepting
damaged absentee ballots.
But
both sides here blame human error, and particularly
Lowe. "She's a nice lady, [but] she's a bumbling
idiot," said Republican Clayton. "How do you lose
a bag of ballots? She doesn't dot her i's and
cross her t's."
Democrat
Giorno's solution to the mess: "Elect a new supervisor
of elections." In fact, the people of Volusia
rendered their verdict on Lowe last week--they
reelected her.
Even
McDermott, admired by Republicans and Democrats,
seems overwhelmed as chairman of the elections
canvassing board. "I'm going to go home and take
a nap," he said at lunchtime Friday. "You'll have
to be patient with me. I haven't had very much
sleep lately."
And
he's not about to get much soon. Even if the recount
ends by Tuesday, he's likely to face more doubts
about the process. It turns out Volusia's Bethune-Cookman
College, a traditionally black school, held a
voter registration drive that produced 2,000 new
voters. But a large number--the school says 50;
the Democrats say more than 100--claim they were
turned away at the polls. "It'll be thrown in
the hopper," vows Democratic lawyer Daniels.
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