As
a statement of principle set forth by an American
chief executive, the now defunct Bush Doctrine
may have had a shelf life even shorter than
Kenny Boy's Enron code of ethics. As a statement
of presidential intent, it may land in the
history books alongside such magisterial moments
as Lyndon Johnson's 1964 pledge not to send
American boys to Vietnam and Richard Nixon's
1968 promise to "bring us together."
It
was in September that the president told Congress
that "from this day forward any nation that
continues to harbor or support terrorism will
be regarded by the United States as a hostile
regime." It was in November that he told the
United Nations that "there is no such thing
as a good terrorist." Now the president is
being assailed even within his own political
camp for not only refusing to label Yasir
Arafat a terrorist but judging him good enough
to be a potential partner in our desperate
effort to tamp down the flames of the Middle
East.
Yet
the administration's double standard for Mr.
Arafat is hardly the first, or only, breach
of the Bush Doctrine.
As
Tina Fey explained with only faint comic exaggeration
on "Saturday Night Live" last weekend, the
U.S. also does business of state with nations
that both "fund all the terrorism in the world"
(Saudi Arabia, where the royal family on Thursday
joined in a telethon supporting Palestinian
"martyrs") and are "100 percent with the terrorists
except for one little guy in charge" (Pakistan).
President Bush, who once spoke of rigid lines
drawn between "good" men and "evildoers,"
has now been so overrun by fresh hellish events
and situational geopolitical bargaining that
his old formulations - "either you are with
us or you are with the terrorists" - have
been rendered meaningless.
But
even as he fudges his good/evil categorizations
when it comes to Mr. Arafat and other players
he suddenly may need in the Middle East, it's
not clear that Mr. Bush knows that he can
no longer look at the world as if it were
Major League Baseball, with every team clearly
delineated in its particular division. "Look,
my job isn't to try to nuance," he told a
British interviewer a week after the Passover
massacre in Netanya. "My job is to tell people
what I think. . . . I think moral clarity
is important."
Mr.
Bush doesn't seem to realize that nuances
are what his own administration is belatedly
trying to master - and must - if Colin Powell
is going to hasten a cease-fire in the Middle
East. Mr. Bush doesn't seem to know that since
the routing of the Taliban his moral clarity
has atrophied into simplistic, often hypocritical
sloganeering. He has let his infatuation with
his own rectitude metastasize into hubris.
The
result - the catastrophe of the administration's
handling of the Middle East - is clear: 15
months of procrastination and conflict avoidance
followed by a baffling barrage of mixed messages
that have made Mr. Bush's use of the phrase
"without delay" the most elastically parsed
presidential words since his predecessor's
definition of sex. It takes some kind of perverse
genius to simultaneously earn the defiance
of the Israelis, the Palestinians and our
Arab "allies" alike and turn the United States
into an impotent bystander.
The
ensuing mess should be a wake-up call for
Mr. Bush to examine his own failings and those
of his administration rather than try (as
he did a week ago) to shift the blame to Bill
Clinton's failed Camp David summit talks (and
then backpedal after being called on it).
While the conventional wisdom has always had
it that this president can be bailed out of
foreign-policy jams by his seasoned brain
trust, the competing axes of power in the
left (State) and right (Defense) halves of
that surrogate brain have instead sent him
bouncing between conflicting policies like
a yo-yo, sometimes within the same day.
Speaking
to The Los Angeles Times this week about Mr.
Bush's floundering, the Reagan administration
policy honcho for the Mideast, Geoffrey Kemp,
said: "A two-year-old could have seen this
crisis coming. And the idea that it could
be brushed under the carpet as the administration
focused on either Afghanistan or Iraq reflects
either appalling arrogance or ignorance."
The
administration of Cheney, Rumsfeld and Powell
is hardly ignorant. But arrogance is another
matter. "We shouldn't think of American involvement
for the sake of American involvement" is how
Condoleezza Rice defined the administration's
intention to butt out of the Middle East only
a couple of weeks after her boss's inauguration,
thereby codifying the early Bush decision
not to send a negotiator to a last-ditch peace
summit in Egypt. Since then, even as Sept.
11 came and went, we've been at best reluctantly
and passingly engaged, culminating with our
recall of the envoy Anthony Zinni in December,
after which we sat idly by during three months
of horror. Not until Dick Cheney returned
from his humiliating tour of the Arab world
in late March did he state the obvious: "There
isn't anybody but us" to bring about a hiatus
in the worst war the region has seen in 20
years.
Even
then, the 180-degree reversal from the administration's
previous inertia was not motivated by the
bloody imperatives of the conflict between
the Israelis and the Palestinians but by their
inconvenient disruption of Mr. Bush's plans
to finish his father's job in Iraq. A cynic
might go so far as to say that "Saddam Hussein
is driving U.S. foreign policy" - which, as
it happens, is what Benjamin Netanyahu did
tell The New York Post on Tuesday.
The
goal of stopping Saddam, worthy as it is,
cannot be separated from the conflict of the
Jews and the Palestinians and never could
be. But even now Mr. Bush seems less than
engaged in the Middle East. It took him a
week after the Passover massacre to decide
to send Colin Powell to the region. The president
has yet to speak publicly about the spillover
of the hostilities into Europe, where each
day brings news of some of the ugliest anti-Semitic
violence seen there since World War II. He
continues to resist the idea that American
peacekeepers will be needed to keep the Middle
East (not to mention Afghanistan) from tumbling
back into the chaos that could once again
upend his plans to take on Saddam.
Peacekeepers,
of course, are to Mr. Bush a synonym for nation-building,
which he regards as a no-no. If there's a
consistent pattern to the administration's
arrogance, it's that when the president has
an idČe fixe of almost any sort on any subject
- from the Bush Doctrine on down - it remains
fixed in perpetuity, not open to question,
even as a world as complex and fast-changing
as ours calls out for rethinking.
Never
mind that Sept. 11 was the most graphic demonstration
imaginable that a missile shield may not be
the most useful vessel for our ever more precious
defense dollars; it's still full speed ahead.
Nor has the bursting of the stock-market bubble
dampened Mr. Bush's conviction that Americans
should entrust their Social Security savings
to his campaign contributors from Wall Street's
investment houses. Drilling in the Arctic
National Wildlife Refuge, once pitched as
a quick fix to the (fleeting) California energy
crisis, is now being sold as an antidote to
our Middle Eastern woes (because some 10 years
from now it may reduce our oil imports by
4 or 5 percent). The Bush tax cut, conceived
at a time of endless surpluses and peace,
is still touted as the perfect economic plan
even now that the surpluses are shot and we
are at war. In this administration, one size
idea, however slender or dubious, fits all.
To
Mr. Bush, these immutable policies are no
doubt all doctrines, principles, testaments
to his moral clarity. In fact, many of them
have more to do with ideology than morality.
Only history can determine whether they will
be any more lasting than the Bush doctrine
on terrorism. Meanwhile, we should be grateful
that the administration did abandon its stubborn
15-month disengagement from the Middle East
to make an effort, however confused, hasty
and perilous, to halt the bloodshed and (one
imagines) lead the search for a political
solution.
"This
is a world with a lot of gray," said Chuck
Hagel, the Republican from Nebraska, to The
Washington Post late this week. "We can choose
either to live in an abstract world or choose
to engage in the real world. . . . The reality
of that has started to set in with this administration."
We must hope that Senator Hagel is right.
While it is far too late for an Arafat or
a Sharon to change, it is not too late for
a young president still in a young administration
to get over himself. At this tragic juncture,
the world depends on it, because, as his own
vice president put it, there isn't anybody
else to do the job.


Fair
Use Notice: This site contains copyrighted material
the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright
owner. We are making such material available in our efforts to advance understanding
of environmental, political, economic, democratic, domestic and international
issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted
material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance
with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without
profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included
information for research and educational purposes. For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml.
If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own
that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.